A sampling of some of the analysis I've made that has come to pass is or happening now...
Welcome. The content below is free to the public. It might be worth what you are paying for it. Having studied economics and being in finance for over two decades, I have learned that only one thing is certain - that almost nothing is certain. As we endeavor to come up with our best analysis of the world around us, the opportunities and risks, we have to try to overcome a myriad of issues including our own ignorance, biases and emotions. What follows are my attempts to overcome those obstacles. Welcome to my view - publishing Monday and Friday afternoons.
I have discussed Occidental Petroleum (OXY) in brief a few times. I originally recommended the stock for subscribers around $60 per share based on a combination of fundamentals and price trend analysis. The share price is about to test recent highs. If it breaks through, it could see old highs again near $100 per share in the next year or two - it currently trades around $76.
Occidental pays slightly above a 4% dividend yield right now and has recently become profitable on the back of quarterly YoY revenue growth at 25%.
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Sierra Wireless (SWIR) is a company that I first investigated a couple years ago, liked, but didn't buy shares in as the share price took off on me. The stock subsequently doubled, but has since round tripped back to me. We have been accumulating shares for about two months. Here's why.
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CenturyLink (CTL) has gotten plenty of bad press in recent years and a share beat down, but its day is coming as the IoT revs up revenues.
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The stock market is testing the February correction lows and the S&P 500 (SPY) (VOO) 200-day moving average today. This is a key support level.
While we could see the first real bear market in a long time, per my chart from a couple months ago, I think the bear sleeps just a little longer.
Depending on your risk tolerance, I think now is a time to put some cash to work. Not all of it, but enough to get more exposure to stocks than you had last week - presuming, you have been following my advice and raised some cash the past few months.
I am at 32% cash, with almost half committed to cash-secured puts. I'm going to commit about half of what I have left in cash to more cash-secured puts and leave the rest for buying stocks or LEAPs if the S&P drops to that next support line.
To read more, a subscription is needed: Click here to subscribe A Shopping List For TODAY
Each month, the week after options expiration, I will post a new set of option trades that you can look to make over the next month. I will focus on:
Always use limit orders and set your GTC for a week or two. Review a few times per week. It doesn't hurt to check early each morning after looking at the stock market futures.
You can adjust prices to be a few nickels, dimes or quarters more favorable. When selling options, you want to get the ASK or a little higher if possible on volatility. When buying options, you want to get the BID or a little lower if possible on volatility.
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This week we cover why government and central bank actions are failing to create sustained growth consistent with pre-financial crisis levels and the "slow growth forever" #slowgrowthforever reality. Why oil is set to rise and possibly rise a lot on geopolitical conflict and new U.S. sanctions on Venezuela and Iran. Finally we look at tightening liquidity and how that might impact stock and bond markets.
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