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A sampling of some of the analysis I've made that has come to pass is or happening now...
Welcome. The content below is free to the public. It might be worth what you are paying for it. Having studied economics and being in finance for over two decades, I have learned that only one thing is certain - that almost nothing is certain. As we endeavor to come up with our best analysis of the world around us, the opportunities and risks, we have to try to overcome a myriad of issues including our own ignorance, biases and emotions. What follows are my attempts to overcome those obstacles. Welcome to my view - publishing Monday and Friday afternoons.
Exact Sciences (EXAS), you all should have taken profits on Exact around $60 when I told you to reduce to a normal weight position, is under big pressure today from this study:
Seeking Alpha put out a note as well:
Richard Marzouka, one of the few dozen people I follow on SA (see my profile to find good people to follow), and I just found out a subscriber, gave me a heads up this morning. Here's my reply in note I sent back to him:
Eliminating some large cap stocks.
Adding some small and midcap stocks.
Focusing on revenue growth rates and value characteristics.
Happy New Year!!! Yep, I know I'm late, but boy oh boy does the world seem interesting! Let's start...
Remember when I wrote this?
A lot of people called me a stupid, ignorant, war mongering joke of an analyst. Pretty much every way I could be wrong, I was wrong. Well...
If you have been reading my little letters on holidays then you know I like to put a positive spin on things, even of a serious nature. Today is no different.
First off, let me wish you all a very Merry Christmas and whatever Happy Holiday that you might otherwise celebrate. Frankly, I have come to respect the Festivus made up holiday for its airing of grievances. With that in mind, let me air some.
In an age where valuations are high, we are carrying some cash, flash crashes are not terribly uncommon and the next flash crash could be a doozy, I thought it made sense to talk about QQQ again.
The PowerShares QQQ ETF (QQQ) is the vehicle I use to build a core asset allocation to a group of market leaders and also what I use for a quick buy if the market tanks while I'm not looking.
QQQ is my GTC limit buy order. It is the fund that I said is The Only ETF You Need To Start Investing.
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