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Having studied economics and being in finance for over two decades, I have learned that only one thing is certain – that almost nothing is certain. As we endeavor to come up with our best analysis of the world around us, the opportunities and risks, we have to try to overcome a myriad of issues including our own ignorance, biases and emotions. What follows are my attempts to overcome those obstacles. Welcome to my view.
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After considering the big trends, fundamentals, and government & central bank policy, it is time to figure out when to buy and sell. Basic technical analysis can help investors put the odds on their side quicker and grind out several extra points per year with little effort. Technical trading experts can make even more with the right temperament. Learn more about when to buy and sell using simple technical signals.
The economy is in a borderline depression, but the money printer goes brrr, so Robinhood buys everything in sight. Maybe it’s different this time, and speculation completely unsupported by the facts or valuations, will turn out just fine.
Having the right resources is extremely important in investing. I’ve vetted over a hundred services and websites over two decades. Here are a simple and cheap ways to get great information and sift out the noise.
We saw this new correction coming. How long will last and how low will it go? Tomorrow’s webinar will be a doozy.
This week’s webinar will outline our post Coronavirus COVID-19 investing strategy and tactics. The second wave of both COVID-19 and the Coronavirus stock market crashes are coming. Prepare now.
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Quarterly Outlook & Game Plan (April 2020): Impact Of Coronavirus COVID-19 On The Economy And Investing
I have made this Quarterly Outlook and Game Plan open to the public. If you are not a “Free Library Card” holder or existing member, please sign up today. Memberships are temporarily 50% off your first year. If you subscribe to “Sustainable Growth Investing” or either Retirement membership, I am upgrading you your 1st year to our R.A.R.E. membership. You can decide in a year if that’s right for you. R.A.R.E. entitles you to everything on the site, including our forums and swing trading chatroom.
Model portfolios are worth precisely nothing to you. Stocks should not be bought all at one time, neither should ETFs. However, having a structured portfolio to fill in as you get prices on assets you want, now that goes a long way. Here are three approaches that have worked well for me managing OPM. One should work for you too.
Summary The Senate relief bill seems 50/50 to get approved “as is” by the House of Representatives. “Unanimous Consent” by the House could be used to pass bill, but several Reps do not feel comfortable doing that. It think it is even money that the House proposed their own bill and takes it to the Senate. That would delay passage by about a week. There’s no doubt something is coming. […]
The coronavirus COVID-19 recession and crash will not be short or shallow. We should expect more economic damage. The stock market is still overvalued and likely to fall further. Use this correction as a chance to position your asset allocation into the “smart everything” and alternative energy world that is developing. It is there that enough growth exists to generate gains. Our research shows that over 100 companies in the S&P 500 are at serious risk of becoming zombies or going bankrupt.
Oil stocks were crushed in recent days. There is a small “hope rally” going on. I am taking that opportunity to clean out the last of my oil stocks and move onto greener sustainable investing pastures.
I have been predicting #Crash2020 since summer 2018. How did I know? Recently, I said expect a “limit down” day from the opening bell soon. How did I know? Watch my Investing 2020s webinars on YouTube to find out for free. Tonight’s special webinar is your chance to catch up. Also, a special 50% discount offer for all viewers. If nothing else, sign up for a free library card.
Coronavirus is causing severe human suffering. The equity markets are also suffering. However, valuations were looking for a reason to correct. The stock market can easily drop another 25-35%. Use this correction to move away from “old economy” disrupted investments and move towards “smart everything” and alternative energy world investments.
In our annual forecast we suggested an early year correction driven by a volatility event. On Twitter in early January, I posted that coronavirus was the most important story developing. It is now threatening the stock market and global economy. Here’s a simple way to think about volatility now.
Screening for stocks should help you whittle down to a list of companies that you can spend time studying. These basics will help you whittle out about 80% or more of the market. This will leave you with a very good chance to buy great companies at low prices.
The market is volatile. Risk is pervasive. Using simple technical tools can help you with you with your buys and sells. We are primarily position traders meaning that we seek to hold for quarters and years, not days and weeks. That is at the heart of our methodology.
The repo market is in disarray and Fed bailing is now approaching a half trillion dollars. Is this QE or a bailout? I suspect it’s a stealth hedge fund bailout. A big one.
This piece is available to anybody with a subscription or a FREE Library Card. Find out how we are trading the first half of 2020 and what might develop. Hint, we expect volatility to increase in 2020 and the year to potentially be a lot like 2018 ending in a crash.
This is my summary 2020 outlook. As I have discussed before, prognostications though often accurate, have difficulty providing precise enough time frames to trade. Because of that, I think investors should consider different scenarios, from most likely to least likely, and have a game plan for each. — You can access this piece with a Free Library Card! Sign-up today.