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Having studied economics and being in finance for over two decades, I have learned that only one thing is certain – that almost nothing is certain. As we endeavor to come up with our best analysis of the world around us, the opportunities and risks, we have to try to overcome a myriad of issues including our own ignorance, biases and emotions. What follows are my attempts to overcome those obstacles. Welcome to my view.

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Investing In The First Half Of 2020

This piece is available to anybody with a subscription or a FREE Library Card. Find out how we are trading the first half of 2020 and what might develop. Hint, we expect volatility to increase in 2020 and the year to potentially be a lot like 2018 ending in a crash.

2020 Outlook: Playing Russian Roulette

This is my summary 2020 outlook. As I have discussed before, prognostications though often accurate, have difficulty providing precise enough time frames to trade. Because of that, I think investors should consider different scenarios, from most likely to least likely, and have a game plan for each. — You can access this piece with a Free Library Card! Sign-up today.

Kirk’s Weekend Review: Smart Everything, Alternative Energy, Tech, Gold & #Crash2020

Each weekend I provide a quick review piece to help you find what you need most. I also include some “Quick Thoughts” to help put things into context. To start, here is the link to this week’s webinar: Euphoria, #Crash2020 & The Coming Retirement Crisis The stock market is on the verge of finally having a “euphoric” or “delusional” blow-off top. People have been saying this was right around the […]

Q4 Outlook & Game Plan

Each quarter we provide an outlook and gameplan. It is concise and covers our big picture view. This report will be available to anybody with a Free Library Card in the future. If you do not have Free Library Card, sign up today.

Technical Damage Confirms Bearish Bias

I track technical analysts, including Avi Gilburt over at FATrader, Marc Chaikin, a point-and-figure guy here in Milwaukee, several candlestick makers and a few others. When their macro analysis lines up, it gives me pause. Right now, they are all telling a similar story:

The stock market is very likely to go lower from here.