Summary The Senate relief bill seems 50/50 to get approved “as is” by the House of Representatives. “Unanimous Consent” by the House could be used to pass bill, but several Reps do not feel comfortable doing that. It think it is even money that the House proposed their own bill and takes it to the Senate. That would delay passage by about a week. There’s no doubt something is coming. […]
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Having studied economics and being in finance for over two decades, I have learned that only one thing is certain – that almost nothing is certain. As we endeavor to come up with our best analysis of the world around us, the opportunities and risks, we have to try to overcome a myriad of issues including our own ignorance, biases and emotions. What follows are my attempts to overcome those obstacles. Welcome to my view.
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The coronavirus COVID-19 recession and crash will not be short or shallow. We should expect more economic damage. The stock market is still overvalued and likely to fall further. Use this correction as a chance to position your asset allocation into the “smart everything” and alternative energy world that is developing. It is there that enough growth exists to generate gains. Our research shows that over 100 companies in the S&P 500 are at serious risk of becoming zombies or going bankrupt.
Oil stocks were crushed in recent days. There is a small “hope rally” going on. I am taking that opportunity to clean out the last of my oil stocks and move onto greener sustainable investing pastures.
I have been predicting #Crash2020 since summer 2018. How did I know? Recently, I said expect a “limit down” day from the opening bell soon. How did I know? Watch my Investing 2020s webinars on YouTube to find out for free. Tonight’s special webinar is your chance to catch up. Also, a special 50% discount offer for all viewers. If nothing else, sign up for a free library card.
Coronavirus is causing severe human suffering. The equity markets are also suffering. However, valuations were looking for a reason to correct. The stock market can easily drop another 25-35%. Use this correction to move away from “old economy” disrupted investments and move towards “smart everything” and alternative energy world investments.
Here’s the core websites to learn about investing, trading and the global economy.
In our annual forecast we suggested an early year correction driven by a volatility event. On Twitter in early January, I posted that coronavirus was the most important story developing. It is now threatening the stock market and global economy. Here’s a simple way to think about volatility now.
Screening for stocks should help you whittle down to a list of companies that you can spend time studying. These basics will help you whittle out about 80% or more of the market. This will leave you with a very good chance to buy great companies at low prices.
The market is volatile. Risk is pervasive. Using simple technical tools can help you with you with your buys and sells. We are primarily position traders meaning that we seek to hold for quarters and years, not days and weeks. That is at the heart of our methodology.
The repo market is in disarray and Fed bailing is now approaching a half trillion dollars. Is this QE or a bailout? I suspect it’s a stealth hedge fund bailout. A big one.