The Peak Oil Plateau is arriving earlier than expected. Investors need to prepare for the risks and opportunities. Read this piece with a Free Library Card or any membership.
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Having studied economics and being in finance for over two decades, I have learned that only one thing is certain – that almost nothing is certain. As we endeavor to come up with our best analysis of the world around us, the opportunities and risks, we have to try to overcome a myriad of issues including our own ignorance, biases and emotions. What follows are my attempts to overcome those obstacles. Welcome to my view.
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I track technical analysts, including Avi Gilburt over at FATrader, Marc Chaikin, a point-and-figure guy here in Milwaukee, several candlestick makers and a few others. When their macro analysis lines up, it gives me pause. Right now, they are all telling a similar story:
The stock market is very likely to go lower from here.
I want to be able to interact with you, answer questions and help out with managing investment positions. So, to help us connect, I am setting up a regular chat schedule that I should be able to keep most of the time (my guess is I’m on 80% of the time I say I will be).
With another pause in the ramping up of the trade war, markets were feeling bullish Monday morning. However, that bullishness has been fading as the day went on. Maybe markets realize there was no real trade progress made. Maybe the markets are focused on other things.
Oil and gas stocks are under pressure from different directions. However, ultimately, prices will support profits. If you are afraid of oil and gas stocks now, maybe it’s time to buy.
Amidst all the unappointed trade worry warriors, de facto Lords of debt bombs and bongo bubble blowers preaching narratives to us about why, how and when the world is going to end again, I have but one Presidential thing to say to them…..Bull$µ!#.
The market got choppy on the “trade war” worries. That is opening up some trading opportunities for about the next year. Technical indicators are showing that we stand a good chance of seeing a big sell-off through next week, possibly heading as low as about 2600 on the S&P 500. It is unlikely that we see the December lows this time around as there is no tax-loss selling and no […]
Over the past 25 years I have learned more about investing each day. The one lesson I have learned over and over again is that we should ignore most investment ideas, even the good ones.
Each week I bookmark the articles, columns and editorials that I want to come back to and read again. Some of these pieces offer insights that I think are valuable, others are updates to something I am following and a few could be contrary indicators. Make no assumptions about what you are reading. Set aside opinions, ideology and feelings. Find the information that might not be inline with your thinking […]