Blog


The content below is free to the public. It might be worth what you are paying for it.

I studied economics, political science and writing in college. I have now been in finance for over 25 years.  I have learned that only one thing is certain and that is nothing is certain.

As we endeavor to come up with our best analysis of the world around us, the opportunities and risks, we have to try to overcome a myriad of issues including our own ignorance, biases and emotions. What follows are my attempts to overcome those obstacles. Welcome to my view.

To get certain special members only content for free, sign up for a Free Library Card if you do not already have one.

Coronavirus, Valuations & Asset Allocation Thoughts

Coronavirus is causing severe human suffering. The equity markets are also suffering. However, valuations were looking for a reason to correct. The stock market can easily drop another 25-35%. Use this correction to move away from “old economy” disrupted investments and move towards “smart everything” and alternative energy world investments.

How To Screen For Stocks

Screening for stocks should help you whittle down to a list of companies that you can spend time studying. These basics will help you whittle out about 80% or more of the market. This will leave you with a very good chance to buy great companies at low prices.

Investing In The First Half Of 2020

This piece is available to anybody with a subscription or a FREE Library Card. Find out how we are trading the first half of 2020 and what might develop. Hint, we expect volatility to increase in 2020 and the year to potentially be a lot like 2018 ending in a crash.

2020 Outlook: Playing Russian Roulette

This is my summary 2020 outlook. As I have discussed before, prognostications though often accurate, have difficulty providing precise enough time frames to trade. Because of that, I think investors should consider different scenarios, from most likely to least likely, and have a game plan for each. — You can access this piece with a Free Library Card! Sign-up today.

Kirk’s Weekend Review: Smart Everything, Alternative Energy, Tech, Gold & #Crash2020

Each weekend I provide a quick review piece to help you find what you need most. I also include some “Quick Thoughts” to help put things into context. To start, here is the link to this week’s webinar: Euphoria, #Crash2020 & The Coming Retirement Crisis The stock market is on the verge of finally having a “euphoric” or “delusional” blow-off top. People have been saying this was right around the […]

Q4 Outlook & Game Plan

Each quarter we provide an outlook and gameplan. It is concise and covers our big picture view. This report will be available to anybody with a Free Library Card in the future. If you do not have Free Library Card, sign up today.

Technical Damage Confirms Bearish Bias

I track technical analysts, including Avi Gilburt over at FATrader, Marc Chaikin, a point-and-figure guy here in Milwaukee, several candlestick makers and a few others. When their macro analysis lines up, it gives me pause. Right now, they are all telling a similar story:

The stock market is very likely to go lower from here. 

Get Ready To Buy Stocks Again

Amidst all the unappointed trade worry warriors, de facto Lords of debt bombs and bongo bubble blowers preaching narratives to us about why, how and when the world is going to end again, I have but one Presidential thing to say to them…..Bull$µ!#.

Wait For The Reds Of Their Eyes

The market got choppy on the “trade war” worries. That is opening up some trading opportunities for about the next year. Technical indicators are showing that we stand a good chance of seeing a big sell-off through next week, possibly heading as low as about 2600 on the S&P 500. It is unlikely that we see the December lows this time around as there is no tax-loss selling and no […]

What I’m Reading Again This Weekend

Each week I bookmark the articles, columns and editorials that I want to come back to and read again. Some of these pieces offer insights that I think are valuable, others are updates to something I am following and a few could be contrary indicators. Make no assumptions about what you are reading. Set aside opinions, ideology and feelings. Find the information that might not be inline with your thinking […]