A Special Report that I am giving to clients of my investment advisory for the 2020 New Year. Webinar linked. Get access with a Free Library Card.
The content below is free to the public. It might be worth what you are paying for it.
Having studied economics and being in finance for over two decades, I have learned that only one thing is certain – that almost nothing is certain. As we endeavor to come up with our best analysis of the world around us, the opportunities and risks, we have to try to overcome a myriad of issues including our own ignorance, biases and emotions. What follows are my attempts to overcome those obstacles. Welcome to my view.
Subscribers log-in to ask questions and post comments in the forum.
If you are not a subscriber and would like to receive one free monthly piece of research and periodic special reports, enter your email address into the “Free Research” box which is located on the front page in the right hand column.
Kirk’s Weekend Review: Mini Trade-Deal, Conflicting Economics, Fed Standing Pat, Brexit And Investing In Alt Energy & The Smart Grid
This week we finally got the well publicized “phase 1” trade deal with China. We also got more conflicting economic data and news on Brexit. My webinar this week was about investing in alternative energy and the smart grid in the 2020s.
Each weekend I provide a quick review piece to help you find what you need most. I also include some “Quick Thoughts” to help put things into context. To start, here is the link to this week’s webinar: Euphoria, #Crash2020 & The Coming Retirement Crisis The stock market is on the verge of finally having a “euphoric” or “delusional” blow-off top. People have been saying this was right around the […]
The Peak Oil Plateau is arriving earlier than expected. Investors need to prepare for the risks and opportunities. Read this piece with a Free Library Card or any membership.
Volatility refuses to rise despite a trade war, impeachment, falling earnings expectations, a Fed in bailout mode and high valuations. What gives?
Each quarter we provide an outlook and gameplan. It is concise and covers our big picture view. This report will be available to anybody with a Free Library Card in the future. If you do not have Free Library Card, sign up today.
I track technical analysts, including Avi Gilburt over at FATrader, Marc Chaikin, a point-and-figure guy here in Milwaukee, several candlestick makers and a few others. When their macro analysis lines up, it gives me pause. Right now, they are all telling a similar story:
The stock market is very likely to go lower from here.
With another pause in the ramping up of the trade war, markets were feeling bullish Monday morning. However, that bullishness has been fading as the day went on. Maybe markets realize there was no real trade progress made. Maybe the markets are focused on other things.
Oil and gas stocks are under pressure from different directions. However, ultimately, prices will support profits. If you are afraid of oil and gas stocks now, maybe it’s time to buy.
Amidst all the unappointed trade worry warriors, de facto Lords of debt bombs and bongo bubble blowers preaching narratives to us about why, how and when the world is going to end again, I have but one Presidential thing to say to them…..Bull$µ!#.
The market got choppy on the “trade war” worries. That is opening up some trading opportunities for about the next year. Technical indicators are showing that we stand a good chance of seeing a big sell-off through next week, possibly heading as low as about 2600 on the S&P 500. It is unlikely that we see the December lows this time around as there is no tax-loss selling and no […]
Over the past 25 years I have learned more about investing each day. The one lesson I have learned over and over again is that we should ignore most investment ideas, even the good ones.
Each week I bookmark the articles, columns and editorials that I want to come back to and read again. Some of these pieces offer insights that I think are valuable, others are updates to something I am following and a few could be contrary indicators. Make no assumptions about what you are reading. Set aside opinions, ideology and feelings. Find the information that might not be inline with your thinking […]
Saudi Arabia has exerted itself and is once again in control of oil prices. President Trump was forced to deal on Iran waivers and is unlikely to regain control of oil prices.
IMO2020 which impacts maritime fuel requirements will shift spreads and keep light sweet crude prices firm come autumn.
As I covered in the last webinar, there are two potential short-term setups for this stock market. The first is a rally into summer, with maybe a hiccup, more rally and then the beginnings of a broader correction by early 2020. The second scenario is a small correction now and then a big rally into at least H1 of next year. Either way, we probably see an S&P 500 (SPY) […]
The three most powerful natural forces in the global economy are aging-demographics, technology and climate change. While most recognize the first two, many deny the third. Most people don’t invest based on any of the three or just touch on tech. What I will jump start you on is that a massive new trend, based around all three factors, is developing. And it is developing very fast. There is an […]
Dick Diamond is a fairly well known trader whose approach differs from mine. However, this section on “Emotional Discipline” is fairly universal. As you’ve read and heard me say countless times, scale into your positions. He has a similar 80/20 style position building approach. Where we might differ a bit is that he is a quick “cord cutter” when it comes to trades that move against him. If you are […]
Hello, my name is Kirk Spano. I am the publisher of Fundamental Trends and an investor for over 25 years. My track record is among the best as measured by TipRanks. In 2011, I was named “the World’s Next Great Investing Columnist” by MarketWatch of the Wall Street Journal Network. More important than me is that the pace of change in the world is accelerating. With that change comes disruptions, […]
Summary Shorter term price trends operate within longer term price trends. When short-term price trends break down in succession, long-term price trends become threatened. We have seen a sequential breakdown in short and intermediate term price trends for the stock market. The key long-term support for the bull market’s price trend is set to be tested this week, i.e. the bull market is in jeopardy. I have discussed the #crash2020 […]
Summary Options are derivatives and can cause your account destruction. Options are the best tool for managing risk, generating income and occasionally generating asymmetric gains. You are your own worst enemy on options by being greedy, unknowledgeable and inexperienced. Control your emotions, learn how options work, what options are for and practice trade in a paper (no money) account at your brokerage before ever using your hard earned money. […]