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Having studied economics and being in finance for over two decades, I have learned that only one thing is certain – that almost nothing is certain. As we endeavor to come up with our best analysis of the world around us, the opportunities and risks, we have to try to overcome a myriad of issues including our own ignorance, biases and emotions. What follows are my attempts to overcome those obstacles. Welcome to my view.

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Kirk’s Weekend Review: Smart Everything, Alternative Energy, Tech, Gold & #Crash2020

Each weekend I provide a quick review piece to help you find what you need most. I also include some “Quick Thoughts” to help put things into context. To start, here is the link to this week’s webinar: Euphoria, #Crash2020 & The Coming Retirement Crisis The stock market is on the verge of finally having a “euphoric” or “delusional” blow-off top. People have been saying this was right around the […]

Q4 Outlook & Game Plan

Each quarter we provide an outlook and gameplan. It is concise and covers our big picture view. This report will be available to anybody with a Free Library Card in the future. If you do not have Free Library Card, sign up today.

Technical Damage Confirms Bearish Bias

I track technical analysts, including Avi Gilburt over at FATrader, Marc Chaikin, a point-and-figure guy here in Milwaukee, several candlestick makers and a few others. When their macro analysis lines up, it gives me pause. Right now, they are all telling a similar story:

The stock market is very likely to go lower from here. 

Get Ready To Buy Stocks Again

Amidst all the unappointed trade worry warriors, de facto Lords of debt bombs and bongo bubble blowers preaching narratives to us about why, how and when the world is going to end again, I have but one Presidential thing to say to them…..Bull$µ!#.

Wait For The Reds Of Their Eyes

The market got choppy on the “trade war” worries. That is opening up some trading opportunities for about the next year. Technical indicators are showing that we stand a good chance of seeing a big sell-off through next week, possibly heading as low as about 2600 on the S&P 500. It is unlikely that we see the December lows this time around as there is no tax-loss selling and no […]

What I’m Reading Again This Weekend

Each week I bookmark the articles, columns and editorials that I want to come back to and read again. Some of these pieces offer insights that I think are valuable, others are updates to something I am following and a few could be contrary indicators. Make no assumptions about what you are reading. Set aside opinions, ideology and feelings. Find the information that might not be inline with your thinking […]

A Market In The Middle

As I covered in the last webinar, there are two potential short-term setups for this stock market. The first is a rally into summer, with maybe a hiccup, more rally and then the beginnings of a broader correction by early 2020. The second scenario is a small correction now and then a big rally into at least H1 of next year.  Either way, we probably see an S&P 500 (SPY) […]

A Fast Developing New Secular Trend

The three most powerful natural forces in the global economy are aging-demographics, technology and climate change. While most recognize the first two, many deny the third. Most people don’t invest based on any of the three or just touch on tech. What I will jump start you on is that a massive new trend, based around all three factors, is developing. And it is developing very fast. There is an […]

Emotions And Trading

Dick Diamond is a fairly well known trader whose approach differs from mine. However, this section on “Emotional Discipline” is fairly universal.  As you’ve read and heard me say countless times, scale into your positions. He has a similar 80/20 style position building approach.  Where we might differ a bit is that he is a quick “cord cutter” when it comes to trades that move against him. If you are […]

Secure Your Financial Freedom In An Age Of Change

Hello, my name is Kirk Spano. I am the publisher of Fundamental Trends and an investor for over 25 years. My track record is among the best as measured by TipRanks. In 2011, I was named “the World’s Next Great Investing Columnist” by MarketWatch of the Wall Street Journal Network. More important than me is that the pace of change in the world is accelerating. With that change comes disruptions, […]

Adjusting To Market Breakdowns

Summary Shorter term price trends operate within longer term price trends. When short-term price trends break down in succession, long-term price trends become threatened. We have seen a sequential breakdown in short and intermediate term price trends for the stock market. The key long-term support for the bull market’s price trend is set to be tested this week, i.e. the bull market is in jeopardy. I have discussed the #crash2020 […]

Don’t You Dare Trade Options Until You Read This!!!

Summary Options are derivatives and can cause your account destruction. Options are the best tool for managing risk, generating income and occasionally generating asymmetric gains. You are your own worst enemy on options by being greedy, unknowledgeable and inexperienced. Control your emotions, learn how options work, what options are for and practice trade in a paper (no money) account at your brokerage before ever using your hard earned money.   […]