Investing 2020s Blog

Welcome to the Kirk Spano’s Investing 2020s blog. Here I cover macro themes as discussed in my Investing 2020s webinars on YouTube and podcasts on Soundcloud (and everywhere). Get our free chartbooks as a free member to Fundamental Trends.

Investing 2020s Blog

De-Risk Your Portfolio NOW

In the past few months I have shown various valuation metrics, including the Buffett Indicator. All are near or at all-time highs. Valuation metrics are the core of fundamental analysis. Today, there are sweet narratives about why low interest rates can keep valuations high a very long time, there were also very sweet narratives about why the dot-com boom wouldn’t bust and the real estate boom wouldn’t crash.

Investing 2020s Blog

Trimming The VSL Of Oil, Commies, Laggards & Zombies

Keeping our focus focused, I have been digging into our Very Short List – our focus stocks – and pruning a large tree or old ideas, bad ideas and mostly ideas where the thesis changed due to Coronavirus running up debt and running down growth for certain companies. Read this important piece on how we are getting rid of commies, oil, laggards and zombies. Sustainable Growth of higher membership required.

Investing 2020s Blog

Weekend Trending

Today we expanded our discussion a bit to include different ideas of liquidity and market impact. Discussed several stocks, how I think of them, what the market is missing and why I’m buying. Briefly discussed the coming acceleration in the changes in the energy system. We will discuss SPACs and what to look for as an investor on Monday’s stock call. We will discuss the energy transition and investment opportunities with a new working paper next Friday. Free Library Card for access.

Investing 2020s Blog

Sell Alert: Taking Profits On Invesco

We bought Invesco around $15 and around $10. We are taking 30-100% profits today on overbought conditions and less appreciation potential. Invesco is a good company, but we do not see it having a high likelihood of a double or triple from here, which is what we look for over 2-5 year cycles. Dividend collectors may elect to keep a small stake given the large dividend.