The tradewar keeps jerking markets around. How bad can it get? We have an idea both short and intermediate term. Here’s some ideas on using VXX and when to buy QQQ again. Available to anybody with any membership or a Free Library Card.
Exchange Traded Funds
Exchange Traded Funds are all the rage among financial planners. The problem for individual investors is that the fees layer up quickly.
A financial advisor might charge about 1% to recommend money managers to clients. The money managers often charge another 1%. This is on top of the ETF fees. The combined 2% in “service” fees is a HUGE barrier to overcome.
Most people can manage an ETF portfolio very efficiently without having to overcome the layers of fees within the financial industry. Our solution is the ETF Tactical Trading service.
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Either portfolio can be used as a stand alone strategy or as the core to build a stock portfolio around.
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Our analysis of the internal fund holdings is unique and provides us a significant edge in building our strategies. See this Seeking Alpha article for an example of how breakdown funds:
For complete access to our “ETF File” reports, portfolios, trade alerts and other analysis, sign up for ETF Tactical Investing today.
A Note To Beginning Investors
ETFs are a wonderful place to start investing. However, keep it simple when your portfolio is small in order to avoid unnecessary trading costs.
There is an overriding trend in the economy that is long-term. The shift from labor and capital intensive “old economy” companies towards scalable and smart “new economy” companies. While we will always need the “old economy,” many of those stocks will not be good investments due to thin margins.
I have covered a lot of the shift to the new economy here, on MarketWatch and on Seeking Alpha. If you are a beginning investor, there is one fund that is easy to begin with. Read this ETF File from Seeking Alpha:
Once you are to the point where you’d like explore other opportunities, please do subscribe. Until then, the Fundamental Trends 401k Alert service will makes sense for you as it provides asset allocation and broad information that will help you as you begin building your financial freedom.
Global Trends ETF uses tactical asset allocation to find opportunities and manage risk using low cost ETFs. This ETF strategy can be used as a whole portfolio or as the core to build a stock portfolio around.
Our mission with Global Trends ETF is to create a diversified portfolio that uses asset allocation to exploit opportunities and manage risk.
Volatility refuses to rise despite a trade war, impeachment, falling earnings expectations, a Fed in bailout mode and high valuations. What gives?
With more time freed up from simplifying my business model, I plan to write a “quick thoughts” on Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday now. Today, Monday, I am writing one because I have two macro pieces about half done each: We Are Now On The Peak Oil Plateau Climate Change Is Already The Biggest Investment Trend I will release these on back to back Mondays coming up. Macro pieces will be […]
The correction we are seeing is a prelude to what I expect in 2020 as the economy softens and buybacks slowdown. Between now and then, we should see choppiness as smart money fades rallies and the oblivious permabulls buy the dips (perma anything are oblivious). I expect a bit of an “end of QT” rally after Labor Day possibly through January, albeit with more volatility than normal. VXX We nearly […]
With the flow of money out of “old economy” and “grandpa stocks”continuing, using corrections to upgrade our asset allocation is an essential idea. Already, we have raised cash on anticipation of a summer correction. I anticipate that the summer correction will be short and shallow, lasting no more than a few months and probably not correcting more than 10-20%.
With another pause in the ramping up of the trade war, markets were feeling bullish Monday morning. However, that bullishness has been fading as the day went on. Maybe markets realize there was no real trade progress made. Maybe the markets are focused on other things.
(Open to the public to demonstrate the regular notes we put out on our holdings. Here we were buyers of calls on USO the last week of December 2019 and are taking profits now as a form of risk management. The “new” Fundamental Trends is in beta and making adjustments based on member feedback.) They say we should learn from our mistakes. This is one thing that “they” have right. […]
Money flows are observable and somewhat predictable for markets. In December, I discussed how money flow was negatively impacting the stock market. Here is that article: 4 Pieces of Missing Money Crushing Markets In short, outflows from liquidating hedge funds, tax-loss selling, a Fed that had ramped up QT to $50 billion a month, virtually no foreign investment (see China’s 90% plus fall off) and the permanent dribble out of […]
Summary Scaling into or out of positions when changing asset allocations eliminates the need to be perfect on trades. If you scaled out of equity heavy asset allocation from late July to late September, then scaled back in from late October to late December, you’ll be fine. Panic selling at the end of a correction turns temporary losses into permanent losses. I preach scaling into and out of positions and […]