Exchange Traded Funds


Exchange Traded Funds are all the rage among financial planners. The problem for individual investors is that the fees layer up quickly.

A financial advisor might charge about 1% to recommend money managers to clients. The money managers often charge another 1%. This is on top of the ETF fees. The combined 2% in “service” fees is a HUGE barrier to overcome.

Most people can manage an ETF portfolio very efficiently without having to overcome the layers of fees within the financial industry. Our solution is the ETF  Global Trends ETF Strategy which provides our unique analysis of internal ETF holdings and provides us a significant edge.

A Note To Beginning Investors

ETFs are a wonderful place to start investing. However, keep it simple when your portfolio is small in order to avoid unnecessary trading costs.

Stick with investing in the secular long-term growth trends, such as technology, 4th Industrial Revolution, biotech, communications, 5G, IoT, AR, VR and consumer trends.

If you are a beginning investor, there is one fund that is easy to begin with that is on the right side of the long-term trends. Read this ETF File I have published at Seeking Alpha to learn more:

The Only ETF You Need To Start Investing

A Few Puts To Sell & Eyeballing Oil

The stock market is hitting its first support levels. We were heavy cash coming into this correction, so can start to sell a few puts for companies we’d like to own a bit lower than today’s price. Also, oil is getting crushed which is making it interesting for a rebound play. Do you know what “backwardation’ is? — Read this research with a “free library card.”

Oil & Gas Exit Strategy

We have now moved past the “beginning of the end” of the oil age. While there might be one more cyclical bull market in store, the 2020s will mark a profound shift in energy usage. The advent of EVs is upon us and petrochemicals will fail to grow as projected due to better technology driven options. You need an exit strategy from oil and gas stocks.

Sustainable Growth Investing Model: December 2019

Sustainable Growth Investing uses a base ETF allocation and long-term growth stocks for generating capital appreciation. This strategy can be used for an entire portfolio or as an add-on to a more diversified portfolio, such as, a retirement plan. The Sustainable Growth Investing mission is to beat the S&P 500 stock market index without added risk.

Global Trends ETF Model: December 2019

Global Trends ETF uses tactical asset allocation to find opportunities and manage risk using low cost ETFs. This ETF strategy can be used as a whole portfolio or as the core to build a stock portfolio around.
Our mission with Global Trends ETF is to create a diversified portfolio that uses asset allocation to exploit opportunities and manage risk.

Quick Thoughts On VXX & QQQ

The correction we are seeing is a prelude to what I expect in 2020 as the economy softens and buybacks slowdown. Between now and then, we should see choppiness as smart money fades rallies and the oblivious permabulls buy the dips (perma anything are oblivious). I expect a bit of an “end of QT” rally after Labor Day possibly through January, albeit with more volatility than normal. VXX We nearly […]

ETFs I Plan To Buy Soon

With the flow of money out of “old economy” and “grandpa stocks”continuing, using corrections to upgrade our asset allocation is an essential idea. Already, we have raised cash on anticipation of a summer correction. I anticipate that the summer correction will be short and shallow, lasting no more than a few months and probably not correcting more than 10-20%.

Taking Profits On USO

(Open to the public to demonstrate the regular notes we put out on our holdings. Here we were buyers of calls on USO the last week of December 2019 and are taking profits now as a form of risk management. The “new” Fundamental Trends is in beta and making adjustments based on member feedback.) They say we should learn from our mistakes. This is one thing that “they” have right. […]

Fade The Market In Early April

Money flows are observable and somewhat predictable for markets. In December, I discussed how money flow was negatively impacting the stock market. Here is that article: 4 Pieces of Missing Money Crushing Markets In short, outflows from liquidating hedge funds, tax-loss selling, a Fed that had ramped up QT to $50 billion a month, virtually no foreign investment (see China’s 90% plus fall off) and the permanent dribble out of […]

Scaling Fixes Imperfection & Game Plan 2019

Summary Scaling into or out of positions when changing asset allocations eliminates the need to be perfect on trades. If you scaled out of equity heavy asset allocation from late July to late September, then scaled back in from late October to late December, you’ll be fine. Panic selling at the end of a correction turns temporary losses into permanent losses. I preach scaling into and out of positions and […]

We Might Have The Low In Oil Tomorrow At The Open

Summary The API reported an inventory build this week, however, last week they had a huge draw. The EIA last week had a small draw and reports at 10:30AM Wednesday. It is very possible that the API numbers are fudged week to week due to when they account, so, we could see EIA with a draw. The Fed will likely be dovish tomorrow and might even surprise with no rate […]

Traders Offer Easy “Go Long” Oil Opportunity

Summary Traders trade, that’s what they do, don’t listen to their stories though. Oil is at the bottom of it’s new range, it’s an easy buy once again. The intermediate bias in oil is bullish and so is the short-term. Buy oil ETFs as futures swing back to backwardation from contango. Traders, from time to time, give us slow handed folks a wonderful opportunity. The traders will beat down or […]

ETF Focus List (Nov 2018)

Summary To protect the integrity of our picks, the focus ETFs will be found in an article within the website each month. These are the highest conviction ETFs to add to asset allocations in November 2018. Look to buy around the 200-day moving averages and when RSI falls below 30. Use the “bottom fishing” prices for second entries on any ETF that violates the 200-day moving average. Scale in using […]