Investing


In this section you will find Fundamental Trends investment ideas, research, model portfolios 401(k) Alerts. Fundamental Trends offers investment ideas in three categories: Stocks, ETFs, Options & 401(k) Asset Allocation.

What truly makes this investment letter different is our approach to buying and selling which is managed for risk differently than most others. We make extensive use of “limit orders” and cash-secured put option selling to scale into positions and secure low costs basis.

Shale Stock Cash-secured Puts Attractive Now

The oil industry has been getting pummeled for a year now. Many oil stocks are down 50% to 70%. Recency bias is preventing more investors from making a real analysis of the value of these companies.  Have no doubt about it, some oil stock prices will never recover. More oil companies will go bankrupt. Mergers, and takeovers without much premium, will remove others from being publicly traded. The majors are […]

Trade Alert: Dividend Stock

We have an opportunity to buy a solid financial stock – NOT in the dangerous banking industry – that pays over a 7% dividend. It is in a growing business and will be entering Europe soon. This is a chance to have a double to triple in total return the next 5 years or so with low risk.

Quick Thoughts On VXX & QQQ

The correction we are seeing is a prelude to what I expect in 2020 as the economy softens and buybacks slowdown. Between now and then, we should see choppiness as smart money fades rallies and the oblivious permabulls buy the dips (perma anything are oblivious). I expect a bit of an “end of QT” rally after Labor Day possibly through January, albeit with more volatility than normal. VXX We nearly […]

The “A Team” Stocks I Want To Buy Soon

Stock market corrections are about the only time to buy high quality companies at a discount. Corrections are also the best time to buy potential ten-baggers on a pullback. We were smart to allocate huge percentages to cash recently, now we need to be smart picking great companies for our portfolios. Below are two lists. The first are very high quality companies with stocks that are approaching rare bargain territory. The second list are companies that have big growth and are potential ten-baggers over the next decade on this pullback.

ETFs I Plan To Buy Soon

With the flow of money out of “old economy” and “grandpa stocks”continuing, using corrections to upgrade our asset allocation is an essential idea. Already, we have raised cash on anticipation of a summer correction. I anticipate that the summer correction will be short and shallow, lasting no more than a few months and probably not correcting more than 10-20%.

Sell Cash-secured Puts For Income & To Build Positions

When the stock market is choppy, unless you are a skilled technical trader, your best bet is to set several GTC orders to tune up your portfolio and then, go do something fun or productive. Setting the limit orders at favorable prices eliminates the emotional aspect of trading. All of the orders I am entering have to do with sustainability or the “smart everything world.” That is where the future lies and where most of the leadership lies long-term.