With the flow of money out of “old economy” and “grandpa stocks”continuing, using corrections to upgrade our asset allocation is an essential idea. Already, we have raised cash on anticipation of a summer correction. I anticipate that the summer correction will be short and shallow, lasting no more than a few months and probably not correcting more than 10-20%.
In this section you will find Fundamental Trends investment ideas, research, model portfolios 401(k) Alerts. Fundamental Trends offers investment ideas in three categories: Stocks, ETFs, Options & 401(k) Asset Allocation.
What truly makes this investment letter different is our approach to buying and selling which is managed for risk differently than most others. We make extensive use of “limit orders” and cash-secured put option selling to scale into positions and secure low costs basis.
With another pause in the ramping up of the trade war, markets were feeling bullish Monday morning. However, that bullishness has been fading as the day went on. Maybe markets realize there was no real trade progress made. Maybe the markets are focused on other things.
When the stock market is choppy, unless you are a skilled technical trader, your best bet is to set several GTC orders to tune up your portfolio and then, go do something fun or productive. Setting the limit orders at favorable prices eliminates the emotional aspect of trading. All of the orders I am entering have to do with sustainability or the “smart everything world.” That is where the future lies and where most of the leadership lies long-term.
Utilities are priced for perfection and about to enter a heavy capital spend cycle as they build out renewable energy and the smart grid. Buy stocks in companies that utilities will have to spend with. Sustainability does not have to mean higher risk.
Alphabet (GOOG) is facing regulatory hurdles and some challenges to its core advertising revenues. Google’s dominance in search is unlikely to end anytime soon though and they will adjust their model as necessary. Also, the incubator is warming with “baby Googles” ready to enter the world over the next decade as “dividends” to shareholders.