Marco & Outlooks

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Marco & Outlooks

Q4 Outlook & Game Plan

Each quarter we provide an outlook and gameplan. It is concise and covers our big picture view. This report will be available to anybody with a Free Library Card in the future. If you do not have Free Library Card, sign up today.

Marco & Outlooks

Technical Damage Confirms Bearish Bias

I track technical analysts, including Avi Gilburt over at FATrader, Marc Chaikin, a point-and-figure guy here in Milwaukee, several candlestick makers and a few others. When their macro analysis lines up, it gives me pause. Right now, they are all telling a similar story:

The stock market is very likely to go lower from here. 

Marco & Outlooks

Wait For The Reds Of Their Eyes

The market got choppy on the “trade war” worries. That is opening up some trading opportunities for about the next year. Technical indicators are showing that we stand a good chance of seeing a big sell-off through next week, possibly heading as low as about 2600 on the S&P 500. […]

Marco & Outlooks

A Market In The Middle

As I covered in the last webinar, there are two potential short-term setups for this stock market. The first is a rally into summer, with maybe a hiccup, more rally and then the beginnings of a broader correction by early 2020. The second scenario is a small correction now and […]

Marco & Outlooks

Mission

Fundamental Trends is designed to help investors manage their own money in an effective, low cost, risk managed way.  My name is Kirk Spano. I founded this site because in my years as a Registered Investment Advisor I have found many people who with a small amount of assistance can […]

Marco & Outlooks

Adjusting To Market Breakdowns

Summary Shorter term price trends operate within longer term price trends. When short-term price trends break down in succession, long-term price trends become threatened. We have seen a sequential breakdown in short and intermediate term price trends for the stock market. The key long-term support for the bull market’s price […]

Marco & Outlooks

About Kirk Spano

Hello, I grew up in a middle class working family in Milwaukee. I remember long gas lines, the first home my parents bought and the recession of the early 1980s. My parent’s sacrificed to put me through Catholic Schools at a time that Milwaukee Public Schools were beginning to fail. I […]

Marco & Outlooks

Are You Scared Yet?

Summary When things seem terrible and people are scared, it’s time to be greedy. What is going on is essentially what we expected, though a bit more dragged out. Traders are bouncing the market around, but it makes me wonder how strong they are if this is the worst they […]

Marco & Outlooks

Get Nearly Fully Invested Soon

Summary I generally advocate holding a significant cash position in order to have money available to invest on corrections of markets, sectors or specific stocks. Selling cash-secured puts allows us to “recycle” money 4 or 5 times per year, keeping our cash balances high on average. With the current stock […]

Marco & Outlooks

4th Quarter Macro And Market Outlook

Summary Earnings could provide a rough patch as companies announce lower revised estimates due to trade concerns. Do not expect a trade agreement with China as President Xi simply waits out President Trump. Oil prices are moving to the high-end of what I believe will be the oil price range […]

Marco & Outlooks

Here’s Why To Be A Stock Seller

Over the past two weeks, I have become a net seller into this weak stock market rally. I talked extensively about it in our last webinar: https://youtu.be/_11AvJl3m_M While I do not believe what is coming is “the big one” as far as market corrections is concerned, I do think it can mimic significantly […]