Keeping our focus focused, I have been digging into our Very Short List – our focus stocks – and pruning a large tree or old ideas, bad ideas and mostly ideas where the thesis changed due to Coronavirus running up debt and running down growth for certain companies. Read this important piece on how we are getting rid of commies, oil, laggards and zombies. Sustainable Growth of higher membership required.
A quick look at the macroeconomy, the Presidential Cycle, Joe Biden’s strategy, making money in SPACs as zombies die, oil is still doomed and tech is still king. Great summary read for members.
The Petrodollar and dollar obituaries have been written for two decades now. And every time wrong. Both the dollar and Petrodollar will survive, one long-term, the other long enough. Get a free library card to read this important economic piece.
The following report covers where we are in the economy and markets. It has become clear to me that another correction is coming of some significance. The problem we face is whether the combination of Fed money and a potential medical miracle can stave off the worse case scenarios. I […]
Oil stocks were crushed in recent days. There is a small “hope rally” going on. I am taking that opportunity to clean out the last of my oil stocks and move onto greener sustainable investing pastures.
Oil and oil stocks are crashing as Russia and Saudi Arabia squabble. Russia’s motivation is clearly retaliation against U.S. shale over recent sanctions on Russia. Investors should not expect a quick or deep recovery for most oil stocks. Oil on the other hand holds some promise. Access with membership or a Free Library Card.
I have been predicting #Crash2020 since summer 2018. How did I know? Recently, I said expect a “limit down” day from the opening bell soon. How did I know? Watch my Investing 2020s webinars on YouTube to find out for free. Tonight’s special webinar is your chance to catch up. Also, a special 50% discount offer for all viewers. If nothing else, sign up for a free library card.
The stock market is hitting its first support levels. We were heavy cash coming into this correction, so can start to sell a few puts for companies we’d like to own a bit lower than today’s price. Also, oil is getting crushed which is making it interesting for a rebound play. Do you know what “backwardation’ is? — Read this research with a “free library card.”
We have now moved past the “beginning of the end” of the oil age. While there might be one more cyclical bull market in store, the 2020s will mark a profound shift in energy usage. The advent of EVs is upon us and petrochemicals will fail to grow as projected due to better technology driven options. You need an exit strategy from oil and gas stocks.
The Peak Oil Plateau is arriving earlier than expected. Investors need to prepare for the risks and opportunities. Read this piece with a Free Library Card or any membership.
Oil and gas stocks are under pressure from different directions. However, ultimately, prices will support profits. If you are afraid of oil and gas stocks now, maybe it’s time to buy.
The market got choppy on the “trade war” worries. That is opening up some trading opportunities for about the next year. Technical indicators are showing that we stand a good chance of seeing a big sell-off through next week, possibly heading as low as about 2600 on the S&P 500. […]
With Chevron bowing out on the Anadarko battle with Occidental, that leaves quite a few companies in play again. Both Chevron and Exxon are likely to expand their footprint in U.S. shale in coming quarters. A spread of calls across the most attractive buyout and merger candidates could generate outsize […]
Each week I bookmark the articles, columns and editorials that I want to come back to and read again. Some of these pieces offer insights that I think are valuable, others are updates to something I am following and a few could be contrary indicators. Make no assumptions about what […]
A couple of months ago, I discussed how the biggest developing trends in the economy were tied to demographics, technology and climate change. More recently, particularly with subscribers, I have also discussed the acceleration of the fossil fuel divestment movement due to the climate change thesis of many fiduciaries.
(Open to the public to demonstrate the regular notes we put out on our holdings. Here we were buyers of calls on USO the last week of December 2019 and are taking profits now as a form of risk management. The “new” Fundamental Trends is in beta and making adjustments […]
As I sit in my Green Bay Packers t-shirt at my keyboard I am still quietly lamenting that I will not be watching my team in the Super Bowl today. There is some consolation, I do like Russell Wilson, I have friends from Boston who will feel good if the […]
The markets continue to exhibit volatility that hasn’t been regularly present in a few years. While markets are not as volatile as 2011 yet, the end of QE in the U.S. and economic challenges around the globe signal that the easy to ride Fed reflation is over. Algorithmically, we see […]