I have been predicting #Crash2020 since summer 2018. How did I know? Recently, I said expect a “limit down” day from the opening bell soon. How did I know? Watch my Investing 2020s webinars on YouTube to find out for free. Tonight’s special webinar is your chance to catch up. Also, a special 50% discount offer for all viewers. If nothing else, sign up for a free library card.
Coronavirus is causing severe human suffering. The equity markets are also suffering. However, valuations were looking for a reason to correct. The stock market can easily drop another 25-35%. Use this correction to move away from “old economy” disrupted investments and move towards “smart everything” and alternative energy world investments.
In our annual forecast we suggested an early year correction driven by a volatility event. On Twitter in early January, I posted that coronavirus was the most important story developing. It is now threatening the stock market and global economy. Here’s a simple way to think about volatility now.
The market is volatile. Risk is pervasive. Using simple technical tools can help you with you with your buys and sells. We are primarily position traders meaning that we seek to hold for quarters and years, not days and weeks. That is at the heart of our methodology.
I track technical analysts, including Avi Gilburt over at FATrader, Marc Chaikin, a point-and-figure guy here in Milwaukee, several candlestick makers and a few others. When their macro analysis lines up, it gives me pause. Right now, they are all telling a similar story:
The stock market is very likely to go lower from here.